Why Is AI Driving the Latest Wave of Tech Layoffs?

Jan 20, 2026
Interview
Why Is AI Driving the Latest Wave of Tech Layoffs?

In a landscape where technology is both the engine of growth and the source of widespread job displacement, understanding the forces at play is more critical than ever. We’re joined by Vernon Yai, a leading analyst in data protection and technology governance, who brings a sharp focus to the intricate dance between corporate strategy, AI advancement, and economic pressures. Today, we’ll delve into the shifting narratives behind the recent wave of tech layoffs, exploring the dual role of artificial intelligence as both a disruptor and a strategic imperative, the unique challenges facing different sectors from telecom to biotech, and what this all means for the workforce, especially those just starting their careers.

In 2025, AI was cited as the cause for nearly 55,000 U.S. layoffs. How do you reconcile this with companies like Meta simultaneously cutting staff in other divisions to boost AI investment? Please elaborate on what specific roles are most vulnerable versus what new ones are being created.

It’s a classic, yet painful, case of strategic resource reallocation. On one hand, you have AI automating tasks and making certain roles redundant, which accounts for that staggering figure of nearly 55,000 jobs lost. On the other hand, companies like Meta are in a high-stakes race with competitors like OpenAI, and they feel an immense pressure to lead. This means they are making difficult choices, like cutting about 1,500 people from their Reality Labs division—a significant bet on the metaverse that is now being de-prioritized—to pour that capital and focus into AI research and development. The roles most vulnerable are those tied to legacy projects or experimental ventures that aren’t showing immediate, massive returns. In contrast, the roles being created are hyper-specialized: AI researchers, machine learning engineers, and data scientists who can build the next generation of these powerful systems.

Layoffs in the recent past were often framed as a correction for pandemic-era over-hiring. How has that rationale shifted in 2026, and what does this change suggest about the tech industry’s long-term health? Could you walk through a few key metrics that signal this evolution?

The narrative has definitely matured from a simple “course correction.” Initially, the layoffs were explained as trimming the fat after a period of unchecked hiring during the pandemic. Now, the reasons are far more structural and forward-looking. The key signal is the why. We’re no longer just hearing about over-hiring; we’re hearing about macroeconomic pressures and, crucially, AI adoption. The numbers tell the story: nearly 245,000 tech jobs were cut globally in 2025. Looking ahead, a survey showed that 44% of U.S. hiring managers expect AI to be a top driver of layoffs in 2026. This isn’t a temporary blip; it’s a fundamental realignment of the industry’s priorities and cost structures, suggesting we are in for a prolonged period of transformation rather than a quick recovery.

Beyond internal strategy, external factors like tariff policies and reduced 5G spending are impacting global companies such as Ericsson. How do these market-specific pressures compound the challenges from AI adoption? Please share a detailed example of how these different factors can intersect to trigger layoffs.

Ericsson is a perfect storm in a teacup, illustrating this intersection beautifully. They are caught in a multi-front battle. First, their core business is hit by a global slowdown in telecom spending and a specific decrease in 5G investment. This directly squeezes their revenue and forces them to find cost savings. At the same time, they are grappling with geopolitical factors like President Trump’s fluctuating U.S. tariff policies, which disrupt supply chains and increase operational costs. When you layer these immense pressures together, the company has very little room to maneuver. The result is a painful but necessary series of cuts to stay afloat, like the 1,600 jobs in Sweden. This isn’t just about efficiency; it’s about survival in a market where every external force seems to be working against you.

The current unemployment rate has risen more for younger workers than for older employees. What unique challenges do entry-level tech professionals face in this climate? What specific, practical steps should they take to navigate this difficult job market and secure a position?

It’s an incredibly challenging time for those just starting out. Entry-level professionals lack the deep networks and proven track records that their more experienced counterparts have. When a company is forced to downsize, they often prioritize retaining senior staff with institutional knowledge, leaving recent graduates and junior employees in a precarious position. The biggest challenge is getting that first foot in the door when fewer doors are open. To overcome this, young professionals must be proactive. Don’t just rely on a degree; build a portfolio of tangible projects that showcase your skills. Focus on specializing in high-demand areas, particularly those related to AI. And network relentlessly—connect with people in your desired field, ask for informational interviews, and make yourself known as a hungry, capable, and adaptable candidate.

Biotech firm Tessera Therapeutics recently announced a 35% workforce reduction shortly after securing a $150 million investment. What does this scenario reveal about the pressures within the specialized biotech sector, and how might investment and layoffs coincide? Please explain the underlying business calculations.

This situation seems counterintuitive, but it’s common in the high-risk, high-reward world of biotech. Securing a $150 million investment is a massive vote of confidence, but it often comes with strings attached and a mandate for extreme focus. Investors are betting on a very specific outcome, in Tessera’s case, a treatment using their Gene Writing platform. That investment isn’t for maintaining the status quo; it’s for aggressively pursuing a narrow, primary objective. The layoff of 90 employees, or 35% of the workforce, is a strategic move to eliminate burn rate on secondary projects or research avenues that are not core to that primary mission. The calculation is brutal but simple: every dollar and every employee must be dedicated to the single most promising path to commercialization and a return on that investment.

What is your forecast for tech industry hiring and layoffs for the remainder of the year?

I foresee a continued period of cautious, highly strategic hiring paired with targeted layoffs for the rest of the year. The era of mass hiring for general growth is over for now. Companies will be surgical, investing heavily in roles directly tied to AI development and revenue-generating products while continuing to trim functions that are either being automated or are part of non-core initiatives. The overall headcount in the industry might remain flat or see a slight decline, but beneath the surface, there will be a massive talent churn as the workforce realigns around AI. We’ll see fewer “growth” hires and more “strategic” hires, making it a competitive market for job seekers but a critical period of transformation for the industry itself.

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