Is Quantum Computing the End of Encryption as We Know It?

Sep 30, 2025
Interview
Is Quantum Computing the End of Encryption as We Know It?

In the rapidly evolving landscape of technology, few topics are as captivating and consequential as quantum computing and its impact on cybersecurity. Today, we’re thrilled to sit down with Vernon Yai, a renowned data protection expert with a deep focus on privacy protection and data governance. With his extensive experience in risk management and innovative techniques for safeguarding sensitive information, Vernon is uniquely positioned to guide us through the complex intersection of quantum advancements and encryption threats. In this interview, we’ll explore the transformative potential of quantum computing, unravel the myths surrounding its timeline and risks, and discuss actionable strategies for businesses to prepare for a post-quantum world.

How would you describe quantum computing to someone unfamiliar with it, and what makes it such a revolutionary force in technology?

Quantum computing is a paradigm shift in how we process information. Unlike traditional computers that use bits to represent data as either 0s or 1s, quantum computers leverage quantum bits, or qubits, which can exist in multiple states simultaneously thanks to the principles of quantum mechanics. This allows them to perform complex calculations at speeds unimaginable with classical machines. The revolutionary aspect lies in its ability to tackle problems—like simulating molecular interactions for drug discovery or optimizing vast supply chains—that would take conventional computers millions of years to solve. It’s not just faster; it’s a fundamentally different way of computing that opens doors to innovation across industries.

What are some specific areas where you see quantum computing driving major breakthroughs in the near future?

I’m particularly excited about its potential in healthcare and artificial intelligence. In drug discovery, for instance, quantum computers can model molecular structures and interactions at an atomic level, drastically speeding up the development of new medications. In AI, they could enhance machine learning algorithms by processing massive datasets more efficiently, leading to smarter, more accurate predictions. Even in logistics, quantum systems could optimize routes and resource allocation in ways that save billions in costs. These aren’t just incremental improvements; they’re game-changers that could reshape entire sectors.

There’s growing concern about quantum computing’s threat to encryption. Can you explain why this is such a pressing issue?

Absolutely. The core issue is that quantum computers, with their immense processing power, can break many of the encryption methods we rely on today to secure data. Encryption is the backbone of digital security—think online banking, secure communications, and confidential business transactions. Quantum algorithms, like Shor’s algorithm, can crack asymmetric encryption, which is widely used for secure key exchanges. This means that data we assume is safe now could be vulnerable in the future, and even historical data isn’t immune if it’s been stored by adversaries waiting for quantum tech to mature.

Could you break down the difference between asymmetric and symmetric encryption and how quantum advancements impact each differently?

Sure. Asymmetric encryption uses two keys—a public one to encrypt data and a private one to decrypt it. It’s foundational for things like secure web browsing and digital signatures, but it’s highly vulnerable to quantum attacks because algorithms like Shor’s can quickly solve the mathematical problems underlying it. Symmetric encryption, on the other hand, uses a single key for both encryption and decryption, often for securing data at rest. While it’s more resistant, quantum methods like Grover’s algorithm can still halve the time needed for brute-force attacks, making it less secure over time. The disparity in risk is why asymmetric systems are often seen as the primary target.

I’ve heard about the ‘harvest now, decrypt later’ strategy. Can you walk us through what that means and why it’s so concerning?

This strategy is a chilling reality. Attackers—whether state-sponsored or criminal groups—are already collecting encrypted data today, even if they can’t decrypt it yet. They’re banking on quantum computing becoming powerful enough in the future to crack that encryption. This could include sensitive government communications, financial records, or personal health data—anything with long-term value. The concern is that by the time quantum tech is ready, years of accumulated data could be exposed, creating massive privacy and security breaches. It’s a ticking time bomb that many organizations aren’t even aware of.

There’s a misconception that we have plenty of time to prepare for these quantum threats. Why do you think this myth persists, and what’s the real urgency here?

The myth stems from the perception that quantum computing is still in the realm of science fiction or decades away. Many leaders see it as a future problem, not a current priority, especially with other pressing cybersecurity issues on their plates. But the reality is stark—experts predict quantum capabilities could be mainstream within five to ten years, or even sooner with rapid advancements. Transitioning to quantum-resistant encryption isn’t a quick fix; it can take years to overhaul systems, test new standards, and ensure compatibility. Waiting until the threat is imminent means you’re already too late, leaving critical data exposed.

Some businesses assume their vendors will handle the shift to quantum-safe solutions. Why is relying on this approach a risky bet?

It’s risky because vendors often prioritize their own timelines and bottom lines over proactive security upgrades. If a vendor lags in adopting quantum-resistant technologies, a business could be stuck with vulnerable systems for years—replacing a key vendor isn’t a simple or fast process. Plus, risk ultimately lies with the organization, not the vendor. I’ve seen cases where companies assume their tech providers will automatically roll out updates, only to find out too late that they’re exposed. Businesses need to take ownership, assess their dependencies, and actively pressure vendors to prioritize quantum readiness.

There’s a lot of hype and ‘noise’ around quantum breakthroughs. How does this affect security teams and business leaders trying to navigate these challenges?

The noise—constant headlines about quantum advancements or new chips—creates a sense of panic and distraction. Every announcement triggers urgent questions from executives: Are we at risk? Is our data safe? Security teams end up spending valuable time addressing these concerns, often chasing false alarms instead of focusing on strategic planning. For business leaders, it muddies the waters, making it harder to discern real threats from hype. This pressure can lead to rushed decisions or wasted resources, when what’s needed is a calm, informed approach to building long-term resilience.

What is your forecast for the evolution of encryption in a post-quantum world, and how should organizations start preparing for it?

I believe we’re heading toward a dynamic, adaptive encryption landscape where no single solution will dominate. Post-quantum cryptography standards are being developed, but they’ll need to evolve as quantum tech advances. My forecast is that agility will be key—organizations will need systems that can quickly swap out outdated algorithms for new ones. To prepare, businesses should start now by raising internal awareness, mapping out their most critical data and systems, and developing a roadmap for adopting quantum-resistant solutions. Collaboration with industry peers and pushing for standardized frameworks will also be crucial. The earlier you start, the better positioned you’ll be to stay ahead of the curve.

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